The Year 2000 Problem: Impacts and Actions

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The Year 2000 Problem: Impacts and Actions

Fonte: www.oecd.org/puma

This report was developed in response to a request at the 1998 Council meeting at Ministerial level that the OECD "promote global awareness of the Year 2000 problem and its potential economic impact," and report to the Ottawa ministerial conference on electronic commerce of 7-9 October. The report, co-ordinated by the OECD's Public Management Service (PUMA), includes a review of economy-wide and sectoral impacts carried out by the Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry (DSTI), and a PUMA-written chapter on governments' role and actions, based primarily on responses to a questionnaire received from countries in June and July. The report was reviewed, updated and accepted under written procedure in early September by the PUMA Committee and the government "Year 2000 contacts" listed in this report. It is being published under the authority of the Secretary General.

The Secretariat wishes to acknowledge the support of OECD Member countries, who provided information on government assessments and actions that was essential for development of this report. Also gratefully acknowledged are the contributions of Vladimir Lopez-Bassols (DSTI), primary author of Part I of this report, Sandra Prerost, who contributed to sections on small-and-medium-sized enterprises and the health care sector; Jian Pak, who provided valuable research assistance; and Daniel Blume, author of Part II and all remaining sections of the report. This report also would not have been possible without the support of a grant from the UK.

This report was distributed at the OECD Ministerial Conference on Electronic Commerce in Ottawa, 7-9 October, and at the Global Year 2000 Summit to be held in London, 15-16 October.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

INTRODUCTION

Scope of the Problem

Scope of OECD Report

Methodology and Constraints

PART I: ECONOMY-WIDE IMPACTS OF THE YEAR 2000 PROBLEM

Current Status: Survey Evidence at The Firm Level
Recent surveys

Private sources

Government surveys

Status by sectors

Energy

Telecommunications

Financial services

Transportation

Health care

SMEs

Government sector

Other sectors

Global/international initiatives
Economy-wide Effects
Country surveys
Overall impact

Figure 1.1 United States OMB budget for Y2K repairs

Figure 1.2 Impact of Y2K on final demand in the Netherlands by sector, 2000

Table 1.1 Status of Y2K readiness by region and firm size, January 1997

Table 1.2 Y2K private sector readiness status by country

Table 1.3 Y2K exposure and compliance by sector

Table 1.4 Nuclear energy generation, 1997

Table 1.5 Y2K status of international telecom carriers, March 1998

Table 1.6 Government Estimated Budget Costs for Y2K

Table 1.7 Macroeconomic effects of Y2K on the Netherlands' economy

Annex Table 1. Estimates of Y2K fix costs

PART II: GOVERNMENTS' ROLE AND ACTIONS

Governments' Assessment of the Year 2000 Problem
Policies and Priorities for Addressing the Problem
The role of government
Economy-wide priorities.
Institutions for Co-ordinating Action and Awareness
Public Management Approaches to Effective Implementation
Reporting on preparations and compliance
Budgeting and human resource strategies
Regulatory strategies
Information disclosure and liability issues
Contingency planning

Table 2.1 Sample of government Y2K priorities by sector

Table 2.2 National Co-ordinating Bodies

Table 2.3 Results of selected OECD Member country reporting on Y2K preparations

CONCLUSIONS AND ONGOING CONCERNS

ANNEXES

ANNEX A: National and International Governmental Web Sites on the Year 2000 Problem

ANNEX B: Government Contact Points

ANNEX C: Questions to National Governments Regarding the "Year 2000 Problem"

ANNEX D: International Recommendations for Government Action

Joint Year 2000 Council

World Information Technology and Services Alliance

International Council for Information Technology in Government Administration

ANNEX E: The OECD Internal Year 2000 Initiative

REFERENCES

ACRONYMS

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